“Timing crashes is impossible. If you require a forecast for your investment thesis to do well, then you’re doing it wrong.” – Mark Spitznagel, hedge…
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May 2023 Market Commentary
Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing
“Interest rates go up and down, stock markets boom and bust, but human psychology never changes. I believe that studying how people think about and react to markets—and particularly studying the most common mistakes investors make—can give us an edge...
read moreHow Much Cash is Too Much?
“You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.” – Shelby Cullom Davis, famous investor Generating…
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Falling Inflation and Stock Returns
“The complaints about how sticky inflation has been nearly matches the claims that it was transitory back in 2021.” – Bespoke Investment Group On November…
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The U.S. Debt Ceiling
“I think it’s ridiculous – it’s always resolved, not that it’s a 100% chance, but I think it gets resolved.” – Bill Gross, Pimco co-founder…
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Market Expectations are Everything
“The past wasn’t as good as you remember. The present isn’t as bad as you think. The future will be better than you anticipate.” Morgan…
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April 2023 Market Commentary
“If you want to call it a bear market, it looks as savage as a koala. If you want to call it a bull market,…
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The Demise of King Dollar
“People talk about this concept like foreign countries can just choose not to do business with the U.S. Dollar. Sure, they can. In doing so,…
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Back to Back Calendar Year Losses for Stocks
“In my experience, most people who are lucky enough to sell something before it goes down get so busy patting themselves on the back, they…
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The Market is Quietly Stacking Up Wins
“It’s just that most people see what they want to see. We pride ourselves on living in reality.” – J.C. Parets, All-Star Charts, on the…
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