“You should obsess over risks that do permanent damage & care little about risks that do temporary harm, but the opposite is more common.” –…
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Avoiding the Extremes
Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing
“Interest rates go up and down, stock markets boom and bust, but human psychology never changes. I believe that studying how people think about and react to markets—and particularly studying the most common mistakes investors make—can give us an edge...
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“Historically, investors overestimate the impact of political parties, Presidents, and legislation. Even if one was to correctly forecast a political outcome, markets seldom react in…
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When the Fed Pivots
“History never repeats itself, but it does often rhyme.” – Mark Twain There have been 85 cycles where the Fed has increased interest rates since…
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October 2022 Market Commentary
“If everyone is thinking alike, somebody isn’t thinking.” – General Patton Pure Portfolios’ Chief Investment Officer, Nik Schuurmans, talks sticky inflation, the U.S. consumer,…
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Silver Linings in a Dismal Year
“It’s not just good news that causes bear markets to end, but better-than-expected news that is simply less bad.” – Ben Carlson, Wealth of Common…
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Surprised by Surprises
“The correct lesson to learn from surprises is that the world is surprising.” – Morgan Housel, The Collaborative Fund Unprecedented. Extraordinary. Unexpected. Once in a…
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Year of the 180
“Most investors tend to project near-term trends – both favorable and adverse indefinitely into the future.” – Seth Klarman, famous investor Let’s go back to…
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September 2022 Market Commentary
“My first boss told us, what’s obvious is obviously wrong. It’s already reflected in security prices. The world changes. And you’re only going to pick…
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The Market Could Be Wrong About Inflation
“I don’t mind going back to daylight savings time. With inflation, the hour will be the only thing I’ve saved all year.” – Victor Borge,…
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