“When y’all think they going to announce that we going into a recession?” – Cardi B, famous hip hop artist Forecasting the next recession has…
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Recession Obsession
Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing
“Interest rates go up and down, stock markets boom and bust, but human psychology never changes. I believe that studying how people think about and react to markets—and particularly studying the most common mistakes investors make—can give us an edge...
read moreBear Market Blues, How Much Worse Can it Get?
“The last leg of a bull market always ends in hysteria; the last leg of a bear market always ends in panic.” – Jim Rogers,…
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Sniffing Around for Investment Opportunities
“Cash shouldn’t be looked at as a burden or drag on your portfolio. It should be viewed as a weapon waiting for an opportunity to…
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Investment Royalty to Punching Bag
“Cathie Wood’s stubborn reluctance to accept reality is starting to look less and less like an investment advisor and more like me betting the midnight…
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Fighting the Market-Timing Urge
“If a topic makes someone feel emotional, they will rarely be interested in the data. This is why emotions can be such a threat to…
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Market Sell-Off: The Good & Bad
“Everything feels unprecedented when you haven’t engaged with history.” – Kelly Hayes, author The daily flow of negative headlines, market losses, and dire predictions can…
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Sell in May and Enjoy the Day?
“In real-time, every crisis feels like the worst thing ever. In hindsight, every crisis is an obvious buying opportunity.” – Morgan Housel, author This isn’t…
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What Does Peak Inflation Look Like?
“Every administration thought they had power to end inflation but they really didn’t. I think now you can see that same sense of overconfidence in…
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Does it Still Make Sense to Own Bonds?
White-hot inflation. Rising interest rates. Tanking bond prices. The popular consensus is that investors should abandon their bond allocation. It’s a tidy narrative but deserves…
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