“We deceive ourselves when we believe that past stock market return patterns provide the bounds by which we can predict the future.” – John Bogle,…
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Estimating Future Equity Returns
Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing
“Interest rates go up and down, stock markets boom and bust, but human psychology never changes. I believe that studying how people think about and react to markets—and particularly studying the most common mistakes investors make—can give us an edge...
read moreIs There Such a Thing as “Safe” Stocks?
“People want to believe that this time is different, that there’s something new under the sun, and through their own ingenuity they can wish risk…
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Bitcoin: Understanding the Digital Asset
“You can’t stop things like Bitcoin. It will be everywhere, and the world will have to re-adjust. World governments will have to re-adjust.” —John McAfee,…
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Cash is Not a Long-term Investment
“In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.” – Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates Cash is comfortable. It’s also finally producing some interest income…
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The Why in Diversify
“Diversification means always have to say you’re sorry.” – Brian Portnoy, founder of Shaping Wealth “Why do we own these bond ETFs? They haven’t done…
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Tis the Season for Wall Street Forecasting Pt. VII
“The need for certainty is the greatest disease the mind faces.” – Morgan Housel, from his new book, “Same as Ever.” The holiday season is…
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This is Why We Invest: Long-Term View on Markets
“Pessimists sound smart. Optimists make money.” It’s easy to get sucked into what could go wrong. In the digital age, if something is awry in…
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Latte with Nik: If I Didn’t See It, I Wouldn’t Believe It
“The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions.” – Seth Klarman, hedge…
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Wall Street is Bearish: That’s a Good Thing
“The best way to tell when a trend is going to reverse is when it fills up with a-holes.” – Jared Dillion, author It’s a…
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